Combat Edge Intelligence

Abel Trujillo vs Joe Giannetti

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-8-0Record16-5-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'0"
70,0"Reach42,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
BlackziliansTeamSouth Shore Sportfighting

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abel TrujilloNow 1615
If they win+12→ 1627
If they lose-12→ 1603
Joe GiannettiNow 1619
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.65
Sig. strikes / min
1.93
41%
Strike accuracy
39%
2.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.80
60%
Strike defense
41%
2.18
Takedown avg.
1
45%
Takedown accuracy
17%
40%
Takedown defense
0%
0.44
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Abel TrujilloJoe Giannetti
160016502016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (36%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
4 (29%)
Submission
8 (50%)
5 (36%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Joe Giannetti66%
Abel Trujillo 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Joe Giannetti a 66% favorite over Abel Trujillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1619), separated by just 4 points.

Abel Trujillo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Abel Trujillo finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Joe Giannetti 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.