Abel Trujillo vs Khabib Nurmagomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record29-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
70,0"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
Khabib Nurmagomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +4 while a loss costs more — Abel Trujillo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1634
If they lose-4→ 1610
If they win+4→ 1893
If they lose-20→ 1869
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1722 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Abel TrujilloKhabib Nurmagomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Khabib Nurmagomedov79%
Abel Trujillo 21%Elo baseline: 83%
The Combat Edge model makes Khabib Nurmagomedov a 79% favorite over Abel Trujillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (83%).
Khabib Nurmagomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1889 to 1614, a 275-point edge.
Abel Trujillo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Khabib Nurmagomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Abel Trujillo finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Khabib Nurmagomedov 66%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.