Abel Trujillo vs Lucas Corbage
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record13-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70,0"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1626
If they lose-12→ 1602
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Abel TrujilloLucas Corbage
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lucas Corbage53%
Abel Trujillo 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Corbage a 53% favorite over Abel Trujillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1614 vs 1615), separated by just 1 points.
Abel Trujillo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Abel Trujillo finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Corbage 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.