Abel Trujillo vs Tony Sims
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record12-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'11"
70,0"Reach42,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
BlackziliansTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Tony Sims is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Abel Trujillo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1628
If they lose-11→ 1604
If they win+14→ 1663
If they lose-18→ 1631
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Abel TrujilloTony Sims
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tony Sims61%
Abel Trujillo 39%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Tony Sims a 61% favorite over Abel Trujillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Tony Sims holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1649 to 1615, a 34-point edge.
Abel Trujillo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tony Sims enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Abel Trujillo finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Tony Sims 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.