Combat Edge Intelligence

Abner Lloveras vs Gustavo García

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-15-1Record1-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"HeightTBD
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight152 lbs
Gracie BarcelonaTeam

What's at stake

Gustavo García is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Abner Lloveras carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Abner LloverasNow 1386
If they win+26→ 1412
If they lose-22→ 1364
Gustavo GarcíaNow 1419
If they win+22→ 1441
If they lose-26→ 1393

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1615 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

6.27
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
50%
Strike accuracy
Not available
6.87
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
43%
Strike defense
Not available
2
Takedown avg.
Not available
20%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Abner LloverasGustavo García
140014502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (36%)
KO/TKO
1 (100%)
6 (27%)
Submission
0 (0%)
8 (36%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Abner Lloveras and Gustavo García within a point of even.

Gustavo García holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1419 to 1386, a 33-point edge.

Abner Lloveras enters on a 8-fight loss streak.

Abner Lloveras finishes 64% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.