Abner Lloveras vs Luan Duarte
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
22-15-1Record14-12-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Gracie BarcelonaTeamTata Fight Team
What's at stake
Luan Duarte is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Abner Lloveras carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+29→ 1415
If they lose-19→ 1367
If they win+13→ 1472
If they lose-19→ 1440
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1614 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Abner LloverasLuan Duarte
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luan Duarte84%
Abner Lloveras 16%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Luan Duarte a 84% favorite over Abner Lloveras in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Luan Duarte holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1459 to 1386, a 73-point edge.
Abner Lloveras enters on a 8-fight loss streak.
Luan Duarte enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Abner Lloveras finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Luan Duarte 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.