Abner Lloveras vs Raphael Mebenga
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-15-1Record1-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"HeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Gracie BarcelonaTeam
What's at stake
Raphael Mebenga is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Abner Lloveras carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1448
If they lose-15→ 1416
If they win+23→ 1472
If they lose-25→ 1424
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Abner LloverasRaphael Mebenga
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Abner Lloveras55%
Raphael Mebenga 45%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Abner Lloveras a 55% favorite over Raphael Mebenga in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Raphael Mebenga's way (47%).
Raphael Mebenga holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1449 to 1431, a 18-point edge.
Abner Lloveras enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Raphael Mebenga enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Abner Lloveras finishes 64% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.