Abraham Bably vs Egidijus Valavicius
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record29-12-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
242 lbsWeight205 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamFlawless MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1640
If they lose-16→ 1608
If they win+12→ 1638
If they lose-12→ 1614
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Abraham BablyEgidijus Valavicius
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Abraham Bably65%
Egidijus Valavicius 35%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Abraham Bably a 65% favorite over Egidijus Valavicius in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Egidijus Valavicius's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1624 vs 1626), separated by just 2 points.
Abraham Bably finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Egidijus Valavicius 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.