Combat Edge Intelligence

Abraham Bably vs Nick Roehrick

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Abraham Bably

Abraham Bably

“The One and Only”

8-3-0HeavyweightPFL

1625Solid

Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record9-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height6'3"
74"Reach41,0"
242 lbsWeight205 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abraham BablyNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
Nick RoehrickNow 1618
If they win+16→ 1634
If they lose-16→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.31
TBD
Strike accuracy
18%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.92
TBD
Strike defense
44%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Abraham BablyNick Roehrick
160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (22%)
2 (25%)
Decision
5 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Abraham Bably72%
Nick Roehrick 28%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Abraham Bably a 72% favorite over Nick Roehrick in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1618), separated by just 7 points.

Abraham Bably finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Nick Roehrick 44%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.