Abraham Bably vs Rafael Cavalcante
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record13-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height6'0"
74"Reach41,0"
242 lbsWeight205 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamTeam Nogueira· 1595 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Abraham BablyRafael Cavalcante
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafael Cavalcante52%
Abraham Bably 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafael Cavalcante a 52% favorite over Abraham Bably in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1629 vs 1631), separated by just 2 points.
Abraham Bably finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Cavalcante 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.