Abu Azaitar vs Modestino Rodrigues
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-1Record7-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'2"
41,0"Reach-
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team AzaitarTeamRevira Black Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
If they win+24→ 1658
If they lose-24→ 1610
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Abu AzaitarModestino Rodrigues
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Modestino Rodrigues56%
Abu Azaitar 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Modestino Rodrigues a 56% favorite over Abu Azaitar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Abu Azaitar's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1634), separated by just 0 points.
Abu Azaitar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Modestino Rodrigues enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Abu Azaitar finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Modestino Rodrigues 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.