Abubakar Nurmagomedov vs Carlston Harris
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-4-1Record19-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
72"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1704
If they lose-16→ 1672
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Abubakar NurmagomedovCarlston Harris
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlston Harris61%
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlston Harris a 61% favorite over Abubakar Nurmagomedov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1688 vs 1690), separated by just 2 points.
Carlston Harris enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Abubakar Nurmagomedov finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Carlston Harris 58%.
Abubakar Nurmagomedov and Carlston Harris share 1 common opponent: Jared Gooden.
Carlston Harris carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.