Combat Edge Intelligence

Abubakar Nurmagomedov vs Elizeu Zaleski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-4-1Record25-10-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
72"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fightspirit TeamTeamCM System· 1632 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abubakar NurmagomedovNow 1687
If they win+17→ 1704
If they lose-15→ 1672
Elizeu ZaleskiNow 1699
If they win+12→ 1711
If they lose-12→ 1687

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1687 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.78
Sig. strikes / min
4.26
53%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.52
65%
Strike defense
56%
1.25
Takedown avg.
0.75
22%
Takedown accuracy
21%
89%
Takedown defense
69%
0
Submission avg.
0.45

Trajectory

Abubakar NurmagomedovElizeu Zaleski
170017502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (35%)
KO/TKO
15 (60%)
4 (24%)
Submission
3 (12%)
7 (41%)
Decision
7 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Abubakar Nurmagomedov60%
Elizeu Zaleski 40%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Abubakar Nurmagomedov a 60% favorite over Elizeu Zaleski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Elizeu Zaleski's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1687 vs 1699), separated by just 12 points.

Elizeu Zaleski enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Abubakar Nurmagomedov finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Elizeu Zaleski 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.