Combat Edge Intelligence

Abubakar Nurmagomedov vs Gadzhi Omargadzhiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-4-1Record14-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'1"
72"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Fightspirit TeamTeamCSKA Moscow

What's at stake

Abubakar Nurmagomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Gadzhi Omargadzhiev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Abubakar NurmagomedovNow 1688
If they win+15→ 1703
If they lose-17→ 1671
Gadzhi OmargadzhievNow 1662
If they win+17→ 1679
If they lose-15→ 1647

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.78
Sig. strikes / min
1.80
53%
Strike accuracy
39%
2.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.20
65%
Strike defense
40%
1.25
Takedown avg.
1.35
22%
Takedown accuracy
30%
89%
Takedown defense
60%
0
Submission avg.
0.45

Trajectory

Abubakar NurmagomedovGadzhi Omargadzhiev
16501700202220232024

Win method breakdown

6 (35%)
KO/TKO
9 (64%)
4 (24%)
Submission
3 (21%)
7 (41%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Abubakar Nurmagomedov54%
Gadzhi Omargadzhiev 46%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Abubakar Nurmagomedov a 54% favorite over Gadzhi Omargadzhiev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Abubakar Nurmagomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1688 to 1662, a 26-point edge.

Abubakar Nurmagomedov finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Gadzhi Omargadzhiev 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.