Abubakar Nurmagomedov vs Meng Ding
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-4-1Record35-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'2"
72"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Fightspirit TeamTeamBlack Tiger Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1704
If they lose-16→ 1672
If they win+12→ 1700
If they lose-12→ 1676
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Abubakar NurmagomedovMeng Ding
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Meng Ding59%
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Meng Ding a 59% favorite over Abubakar Nurmagomedov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Abubakar Nurmagomedov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1688 vs 1688), separated by just 0 points.
Meng Ding enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Abubakar Nurmagomedov finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Meng Ding 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.