Abubakar Nurmagomedov vs Omran Chaaban
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-4-1Record10-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'1"
72"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1703
If they lose-16→ 1671
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Abubakar NurmagomedovOmran Chaaban
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Omran Chaaban60%
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Omran Chaaban a 60% favorite over Abubakar Nurmagomedov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Abubakar Nurmagomedov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1687 vs 1685), separated by just 2 points.
Omran Chaaban enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Abubakar Nurmagomedov finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Omran Chaaban 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.