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Combat Edge Intelligence

Abubakar Vagaev vs Ramazan Kuramagomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

25-4-0Record14-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
-Reach72"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1681 avg Elo · 29 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abubakar VagaevNow 1769
If they win+12→ 1781
If they lose-12→ 1757
Ramazan KuramagomedovNow 1773
If they win+16→ 1789
If they lose-16→ 1757

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1657 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
11.67
Not available
Strike accuracy
68%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
9.13
Not available
Strike defense
54%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Abubakar VagaevRamazan Kuramagomedov
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (16%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
1 (4%)
Submission
6 (43%)
20 (80%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Ramazan Kuramagomedov54%
Abubakar Vagaev 46%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ramazan Kuramagomedov a 54% favorite over Abubakar Vagaev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1769 vs 1773), separated by just 4 points.

Abubakar Vagaev enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Ramazan Kuramagomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Abubakar Vagaev finishes 20% of wins inside the distance, Ramazan Kuramagomedov 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.