Adam Antolin vs Clayton Carpenter
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-0Record8-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
TBDReach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1640
If they lose-16→ 1608
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Adam AntolinClayton Carpenter
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Clayton Carpenter60%
Adam Antolin 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Clayton Carpenter a 60% favorite over Adam Antolin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1624 vs 1627), separated by just 3 points.
Clayton Carpenter enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Adam Antolin finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Clayton Carpenter 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.