Adam Assenza vs Daniel Swain
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-10-1Record20-11-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'9"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1603
If they lose-12→ 1579
If they win+12→ 1603
If they lose-12→ 1579
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1503 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Adam AssenzaDaniel Swain
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Daniel Swain52%
Adam Assenza 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Daniel Swain a 52% favorite over Adam Assenza in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Adam Assenza's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1591), separated by just 0 points.
Daniel Swain enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Adam Assenza finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Swain 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.