Combat Edge Intelligence

Adam Cella vs David Allen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Adam Cella
us

Adam Cella

“El Natural”

10-10-0Light HeavyweightNFA

1476Average

Tale of the tape

10-10-0Record2-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
189 lbsWeight185 lbs
Finney's HIT SquadTeamRoker Rough House MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adam CellaNow 1476
If they win+16→ 1492
If they lose-16→ 1460
David AllenNow 1469
If they win+24→ 1493
If they lose-24→ 1445

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1484 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.91
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
42%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
3.92
Takedown avg.
TBD
75%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.31
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Adam CellaDavid Allen
14501500201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
2 (100%)
4 (40%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

David Allen70%
Adam Cella 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes David Allen a 70% favorite over Adam Cella in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Adam Cella's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1476 vs 1469), separated by just 7 points.

David Allen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Adam Cella finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.