Adam Cella vs Marcio Alexandre Junior
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-10-0Record16-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
189 lbsWeight185 lbs
Finney's HIT SquadTeamAstra Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1492
If they lose-16→ 1460
If they win+25→ 1492
If they lose-23→ 1444
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1484 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Adam CellaMarcio Alexandre Junior
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Adam Cella and Marcio Alexandre Junior within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1476 vs 1467), separated by just 9 points.
Marcio Alexandre Junior enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Adam Cella finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Marcio Alexandre Junior 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.