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Combat Edge Intelligence

Adam Cella vs Tor Troeng

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Adam Cella
us

Adam Cella

“El Natural”

10-10-0Light HeavyweightNFA

1476Average
Tor Troeng
se

Tor Troeng

“The Hammer”

16-7-1MiddleweightUFC

1614Solid

Tale of the tape

10-10-0Record16-7-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
189 lbsWeight184 lbs
Finney's HIT SquadTeamRenyi

What's at stake

Tor Troeng is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Adam Cella carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Adam CellaNow 1476
If they win+22→ 1498
If they lose-10→ 1466
Tor TroengNow 1614
If they win+10→ 1624
If they lose-22→ 1592

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1484 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.91
Sig. strikes / min
1.16
42%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.61
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.26
51%
Strike defense
32%
3.92
Takedown avg.
0.62
75%
Takedown accuracy
8%
50%
Takedown defense
67%
1.31
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Adam CellaTor Troeng
15001600201220132014201520162017201820192020

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
4 (40%)
Submission
6 (38%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Tor Troeng63%
Adam Cella 37%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Tor Troeng a 63% favorite over Adam Cella in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Tor Troeng holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1614 to 1476, a 138-point edge.

Tor Troeng enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Adam Cella finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tor Troeng 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.