Combat Edge Intelligence

Adam Cullen vs Akbarh Arreola

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record26-11-1
LightweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'10"
-Reach71,0"
156 lbsWeight185 lbs
Next Generation MMA LiverpoolTeamEntram Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adam CullenNow 1638
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622
Akbarh ArreolaNow 1637
If they win+12→ 1649
If they lose-12→ 1625

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1502 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.32
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.01
TBD
Strike defense
57%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.07
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
33%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Adam CullenAkbarh Arreola
160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
5 (19%)
5 (42%)
Submission
20 (77%)
2 (17%)
Decision
1 (4%)

Combat Edge model read

Adam Cullen71%
Akbarh Arreola 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Adam Cullen a 71% favorite over Akbarh Arreola in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1637), separated by just 1 points.

Adam Cullen enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Akbarh Arreola enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Adam Cullen finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Akbarh Arreola 96%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.