Adam Cullen vs Marian Ziółkowski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-3-0Record26-11-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
156 lbsWeight156 lbs
Next Generation MMA LiverpoolTeamNemesis Pro Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1659
If they lose-16→ 1627
If they win+12→ 1657
If they lose-12→ 1633
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Adam CullenMarian Ziółkowski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marian Ziółkowski59%
Adam Cullen 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marian Ziółkowski a 59% favorite over Adam Cullen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1643 vs 1645), separated by just 2 points.
Adam Cullen enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Adam Cullen finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Marian Ziółkowski 77%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.