Adam Darby vs Jake Ellenberger
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-1-0Record31-15-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'9"
78"Reach39,5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team RyanoTeamReign MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1689
If they lose-24→ 1641
If they win+12→ 1677
If they lose-12→ 1653
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1514 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1690 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Adam DarbyJake Ellenberger
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Adam Darby53%
Jake Ellenberger 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Adam Darby a 53% favorite over Jake Ellenberger in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1665 vs 1665), separated by just 0 points.
Adam Darby enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Jake Ellenberger enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Adam Darby finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Jake Ellenberger 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.