Adam Darby vs Patrick Rivera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-1-0Record13-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'11"
78"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
Adam Darby is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Patrick Rivera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1685
If they lose-28→ 1637
If they win+19→ 1623
If they lose-13→ 1591
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1514 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1467 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Adam DarbyPatrick Rivera
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Adam Darby73%
Patrick Rivera 27%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Adam Darby a 73% favorite over Patrick Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Adam Darby holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1665 to 1604, a 61-point edge.
Adam Darby enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Adam Darby finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Rivera 77%.
Adam Darby carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.