Combat Edge Intelligence

Adam Fugitt vs Bobby Nash

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Bobby Nash
us

Bobby Nash

“Nashty”

12-5-0WelterweightBFC

1609Solid

Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record12-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
77"Reach42,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamFit NHB

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adam FugittNow 1608
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592
Bobby NashNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1610 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.59
Sig. strikes / min
3.42
46%
Strike accuracy
38%
4.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.95
51%
Strike defense
51%
1.83
Takedown avg.
2.37
25%
Takedown accuracy
33%
50%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
1.58

Trajectory

Adam FugittBobby Nash
16001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
3 (30%)
Submission
4 (33%)
2 (20%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Bobby Nash52%
Adam Fugitt 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Bobby Nash a 52% favorite over Adam Fugitt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1608 vs 1609), separated by just 1 points.

Adam Fugitt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Adam Fugitt finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Bobby Nash 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.