Combat Edge Intelligence

Adam Fugitt vs Dominique Steele

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record20-12-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
77"Reach74,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamTeam Vision

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adam FugittNow 1608
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592
Dominique SteeleNow 1609
If they win+12→ 1621
If they lose-12→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1610 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.59
Sig. strikes / min
2.32
46%
Strike accuracy
49%
4.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.42
51%
Strike defense
50%
1.83
Takedown avg.
2.95
25%
Takedown accuracy
42%
50%
Takedown defense
76%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Adam FugittDominique Steele
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (35%)
3 (30%)
Submission
2 (10%)
2 (20%)
Decision
11 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Adam Fugitt63%
Dominique Steele 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Adam Fugitt a 63% favorite over Dominique Steele in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dominique Steele's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1608 vs 1609), separated by just 1 points.

Adam Fugitt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dominique Steele enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Adam Fugitt finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Dominique Steele 45%.

Adam Fugitt carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.