Adam Fugitt vs Josh Quinlan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record6-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
77"Reach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamAbe Brothers Jiu-Jitsu Las Vegas
What's at stake
Adam Fugitt is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Josh Quinlan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1621
If they lose-19→ 1589
If they win+19→ 1565
If they lose-13→ 1533
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1610 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Adam FugittJosh Quinlan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Adam Fugitt66%
Josh Quinlan 34%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Adam Fugitt a 66% favorite over Josh Quinlan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Adam Fugitt holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1608 to 1546, a 62-point edge.
Adam Fugitt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Josh Quinlan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Adam Fugitt finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Josh Quinlan 100%.
Adam Fugitt carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.