Combat Edge Intelligence

Adam Fugitt vs Keith Wisniewski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record28-15-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
77"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamDuneland Vale Tudo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adam FugittNow 1608
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592
Keith WisniewskiNow 1606
If they win+12→ 1618
If they lose-12→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1610 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.59
Sig. strikes / min
2.32
46%
Strike accuracy
52%
4.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.86
51%
Strike defense
43%
1.83
Takedown avg.
1.57
25%
Takedown accuracy
40%
50%
Takedown defense
79%
0
Submission avg.
0.26

Trajectory

Adam FugittKeith Wisniewski
16001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
6 (21%)
3 (30%)
Submission
15 (54%)
2 (20%)
Decision
7 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Adam Fugitt72%
Keith Wisniewski 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Adam Fugitt a 72% favorite over Keith Wisniewski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1608 vs 1606), separated by just 2 points.

Adam Fugitt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Keith Wisniewski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Adam Fugitt finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Keith Wisniewski 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.