Adam Fugitt vs Mike Malott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record14-2-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'1"
77"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated
What's at stake
Mike Malott is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Adam Fugitt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1631
If they lose-9→ 1599
If they win+9→ 1771
If they lose-23→ 1739
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1610 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1678 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Adam FugittMike Malott
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Malott92%
Adam Fugitt 8%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Malott a 92% favorite over Adam Fugitt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Mike Malott holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1762 to 1608, a 154-point edge.
Adam Fugitt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mike Malott enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Adam Fugitt finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Mike Malott 86%.
Adam Fugitt and Mike Malott share 1 common opponent: Solomon Renfro.
Adam Fugitt carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.