Combat Edge Intelligence

Adam Fugitt vs Ty Miller

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ty Miller
us

Ty Miller

“Thriller”

8-0-0WelterweightUFC

1682Good

Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record8-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'2"
77"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamFit NHB

What's at stake

Ty Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Adam Fugitt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Adam FugittNow 1608
If they win+19→ 1627
If they lose-13→ 1595
Ty MillerNow 1682
If they win+19→ 1701
If they lose-29→ 1653

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1610 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.59
Sig. strikes / min
7.16
46%
Strike accuracy
39%
4.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.65
51%
Strike defense
65%
1.83
Takedown avg.
0
25%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
75%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Adam FugittTy Miller
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
3 (30%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (20%)
Decision
4 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Ty Miller87%
Adam Fugitt 13%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Ty Miller a 87% favorite over Adam Fugitt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Ty Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1682 to 1608, a 74-point edge.

Adam Fugitt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ty Miller enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Adam Fugitt finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Ty Miller 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.