Adam Fugitt vs Ty Miller
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0 Record 7-0-0
Welterweight Division Welterweight
6'1" Height 6'2"
77" Reach 77"
170 lbs Weight 170 lbs
Fight Ready Team Fit NHB
What's at stake
Ty Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Adam Fugitt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1626
If they lose-14→ 1594
If they win+21→ 1675
If they lose-27→ 1627
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Adam Fugitt Ty Miller
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ty Miller72%
Adam Fugitt28%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Ty Miller a 72% favorite over Adam Fugitt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Ty Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1654 to 1608, a 46-point edge.
Adam Fugitt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ty Miller enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Adam Fugitt finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Ty Miller 43%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.