Adam Fugitt vs Yusaku Kinoshita
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record6-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
77"Reach71,5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamPancrase Inagakigumi
What's at stake
Adam Fugitt is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Yusaku Kinoshita carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1623
If they lose-19→ 1591
If they win+19→ 1563
If they lose-13→ 1531
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Adam FugittYusaku Kinoshita
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Adam Fugitt and Yusaku Kinoshita within a point of even.
Adam Fugitt holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1610 to 1544, a 66-point edge.
Adam Fugitt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Yusaku Kinoshita enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Adam Fugitt finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Yusaku Kinoshita 100%.
Adam Fugitt carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.