Adam Fugitt vs Yusaku Kinoshita
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record6-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
77"Reach71,5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamPancrase Inagakigumi
What's at stake
Adam Fugitt is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Yusaku Kinoshita carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1620
If they lose-20→ 1588
If they win+20→ 1547
If they lose-12→ 1515
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1610 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Adam FugittYusaku Kinoshita
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Adam Fugitt60%
Yusaku Kinoshita 40%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Adam Fugitt a 60% favorite over Yusaku Kinoshita in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Adam Fugitt holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1608 to 1527, a 81-point edge.
Adam Fugitt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Yusaku Kinoshita enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Adam Fugitt finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Yusaku Kinoshita 100%.
Adam Fugitt carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.