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Combat Edge Intelligence

Adam Horváth vs Alessio Sakara

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alessio Sakara
it

Alessio Sakara

“Legionarius”

21-13-0Light HeavyweightBFC

1547Average

Tale of the tape

13-10-0Record21-13-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
TBDHeight6'1"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Bacs TeamTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adam HorváthNow 1549
If they win+16→ 1565
If they lose-16→ 1533
Alessio SakaraNow 1547
If they win+12→ 1559
If they lose-12→ 1535

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.96
Not available
Strike accuracy
48%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.80
Not available
Strike defense
59%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.18
Not available
Takedown accuracy
79%
Not available
Takedown defense
63%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Adam HorváthAlessio Sakara
150015502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (15%)
KO/TKO
15 (71%)
10 (77%)
Submission
2 (10%)
1 (8%)
Decision
4 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Adam Horváth58%
Alessio Sakara 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Adam Horváth a 58% favorite over Alessio Sakara in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1549 vs 1547), separated by just 2 points.

Adam Horváth enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Adam Horváth finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Alessio Sakara 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.