Adam Horváth vs Gary Padilla
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-10-0Record12-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
TBDHeight6'1"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Bacs TeamTeamAlliance MMA· 1651 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1565
If they lose-16→ 1533
If they win+16→ 1564
If they lose-16→ 1532
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Adam HorváthGary Padilla
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Adam Horváth57%
Gary Padilla 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Adam Horváth a 57% favorite over Gary Padilla in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1549 vs 1548), separated by just 1 points.
Adam Horváth enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Gary Padilla enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Adam Horváth finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Gary Padilla 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.