Adam Livingston vs Hunter Smith
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-1-0Record8-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height5'9"
72"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
What's at stake
Adam Livingston is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Hunter Smith carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1675
If they lose-26→ 1627
If they win+18→ 1635
If they lose-14→ 1603
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Adam LivingstonHunter Smith
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Adam Livingston62%
Hunter Smith 38%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Adam Livingston a 62% favorite over Hunter Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Adam Livingston holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1653 to 1617, a 36-point edge.
Adam Livingston enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Adam Livingston finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Hunter Smith 75%.
Adam Livingston carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.