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Combat Edge Intelligence

Adam Masaev vs Carlos Leal

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Carlos Leal
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Carlos Leal

“The Lion”

23-7-0WelterweightUFC

1718Good

Tale of the tape

12-0-0Record23-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
-Reach74"
162 lbsWeight169 lbs
Tactical Fight Team· 1555 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamThai Brasil· 1663 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adam MasaevNow 1716
If they win+16→ 1732
If they lose-16→ 1700
Carlos LealNow 1718
If they win+12→ 1730
If they lose-12→ 1706

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
8.75
Not available
Strike accuracy
47%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.78
Not available
Strike defense
49%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.43
Not available
Takedown accuracy
11%
Not available
Takedown defense
91%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Adam MasaevCarlos Leal
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
11 (52%)
9 (75%)
Submission
2 (10%)
1 (8%)
Decision
8 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlos Leal62%
Adam Masaev 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Leal a 62% favorite over Adam Masaev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1716 vs 1718), separated by just 2 points.

Adam Masaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Adam Masaev finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Carlos Leal 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.