Combat Edge Intelligence

Adam Masaev vs Paul Hughes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Paul Hughes
ie

Paul Hughes

“Big News”

14-3-0WelterweightPFL

1712Good

Tale of the tape

12-0-0Record14-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'9"
-Reach70"
162 lbsWeight159 lbs
Tactical Fight TeamTeamFight Academy Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adam MasaevNow 1715
If they win+16→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1699
Paul HughesNow 1712
If they win+16→ 1728
If they lose-16→ 1696

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Adam MasaevPaul Hughes
17002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
9 (75%)
Submission
3 (21%)
1 (8%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Adam Masaev63%
Paul Hughes 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Adam Masaev a 63% favorite over Paul Hughes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1715 vs 1712), separated by just 3 points.

Adam Masaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Adam Masaev finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Paul Hughes 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.