Combat Edge Intelligence

Adam Masaev vs Rafael dos Anjos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-0-0Record32-17-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'8"
-Reach70"
162 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tactical Fight TeamTeamRDA Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adam MasaevNow 1715
If they win+16→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1699
Rafael dos AnjosNow 1713
If they win+12→ 1725
If they lose-12→ 1701

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1507 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1737 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.48
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.23
TBD
Strike defense
60%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.95
TBD
Takedown accuracy
36%
TBD
Takedown defense
55%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.57

Trajectory

Adam MasaevRafael dos Anjos
170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
5 (16%)
9 (75%)
Submission
11 (34%)
1 (8%)
Decision
16 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Adam Masaev77%
Rafael dos Anjos 23%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Adam Masaev a 77% favorite over Rafael dos Anjos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1715 vs 1713), separated by just 2 points.

Adam Masaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Rafael dos Anjos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Adam Masaev finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Rafael dos Anjos 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.