Combat Edge Intelligence

Adam Pałasz vs Jared Vanderaa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Adam Pałasz
pl

Adam Pałasz

“Adas z Jawora”

10-5-0HeavyweightOKMMA

1585Solid

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record17-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
-Reach80"
261 lbsWeight259 lbs
Rio Grappling WroclawTeamTeam Quest

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adam PałaszNow 1585
If they win+16→ 1601
If they lose-16→ 1569
Jared VanderaaNow 1585
If they win+12→ 1597
If they lose-12→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.96
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.67
TBD
Strike defense
45%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.18
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
20%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Adam PałaszJared Vanderaa
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (80%)
KO/TKO
8 (47%)
1 (10%)
Submission
6 (35%)
1 (10%)
Decision
3 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Adam Pałasz and Jared Vanderaa within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1585), separated by just 0 points.

Jared Vanderaa enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Adam Pałasz finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Jared Vanderaa 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.