Combat Edge Intelligence

Adam Pałasz vs Rex Richards

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Adam Pałasz
pl

Adam Pałasz

“Adas z Jawora”

10-5-0HeavyweightOKMMA

1585Solid

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record7-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'5"
-ReachTBD
261 lbsWeight218 lbs
Rio Grappling WroclawTeamWest Texas MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adam PałaszNow 1585
If they win+16→ 1601
If they lose-16→ 1569
Rex RichardsNow 1587
If they win+24→ 1611
If they lose-24→ 1563

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Adam PałaszRex Richards
15501600165020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (80%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
1 (10%)
Submission
3 (43%)
1 (10%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Adam Pałasz56%
Rex Richards 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Adam Pałasz a 56% favorite over Rex Richards in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rex Richards's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1587), separated by just 2 points.

Adam Pałasz finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Rex Richards 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.