Adam Pałasz vs Ricco Rodriguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record54-27-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
-ReachTBD
261 lbsWeight225 lbs
Rio Grappling WroclawTeamAmerican Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1601
If they lose-16→ 1569
If they win+12→ 1603
If they lose-12→ 1579
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Adam PałaszRicco Rodriguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Adam Pałasz60%
Ricco Rodriguez 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Adam Pałasz a 60% favorite over Ricco Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ricco Rodriguez's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1591), separated by just 6 points.
Ricco Rodriguez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Adam Pałasz finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Ricco Rodriguez 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.