Adam Santos vs Enrique Pacheco
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Adam Santos59%
Enrique Pacheco 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Adam Santos a 59% favorite over Enrique Pacheco in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Enrique Pacheco's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1573 vs 1575), separated by just 2 points.
Enrique Pacheco enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Adam Santos finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Enrique Pacheco 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record9-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
6'0"Height5'6"
-Reach67"
135 lbsWeight122 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1597
If they lose-24→ 1549
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1515 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Adam SantosEnrique Pacheco