Combat Edge Intelligence

Adam Santos vs Nick Aguirre

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Adam Santos
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Adam Santos

“Paqueta”

5-1-0BantamweightLFA

1573Solid

Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record7-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
6'0"Height5'9"
-Reach74,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Flavio Baiano TeamTeamValle Flow Striking· 1672 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adam SantosNow 1573
If they win+24→ 1597
If they lose-24→ 1549
Nick AguirreNow 1574
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-16→ 1558

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1495 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
0.73
Not available
Strike accuracy
34%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.89
Not available
Strike defense
46%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.16
Not available
Takedown accuracy
20%
Not available
Takedown defense
33%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.58

Trajectory

Adam SantosNick Aguirre
1550160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
4 (80%)
Submission
4 (57%)
1 (20%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Adam Santos and Nick Aguirre within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1573 vs 1574), separated by just 1 points.

Adam Santos enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Nick Aguirre enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Adam Santos finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Nick Aguirre 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.