Vinicius Pires12-3-0
Rafael Pereira16-4-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Rafael Pereira won
57%Vinicius Pires43%Rafael Pereira
Combat Edge Model · Full card
LFA 241: Pires vs Pereira predictions
Model win probabilities for every bout on LFA 241: Pires vs Pereira (September 11, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
14Total bouts
14Frozen forecasts
8Close matchups
3Model / Elo splits
0Strong model leans
LockedFight card started
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Showing all 14 matchups.
Main card
Main card predictions
6 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Carlos Soares16-5-0
Gustavo Pintos11-1-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Gustavo Pintos won
38%Carlos Soares62%Gustavo Pintos
Neemias Santana8-3-1
Marcos Silva10-7-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Neemias Santana won
41%Neemias Santana59%Marcos Silva
Gustavo Rocha6-3-0
Felipe Rosa4-1-0
Close matchupModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Gustavo Rocha won
48%Gustavo Rocha52%Felipe Rosa
Raiane Vinuto6-1-0
Marina Monteiro6-2-0
Close matchupModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Raiane Vinuto won
49.6%Raiane Vinuto50.4%Marina Monteiro
Eduardo Dutra8-0-0
Júlio Assunção6-4-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Eduardo Dutra won
66%Eduardo Dutra34%Júlio Assunção
Prelims
Prelims predictions
8 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Thalyta Silva5-0-0
Mônica Fontes4-2-0
Close matchupModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Thalyta Silva won
54%Thalyta Silva47%Mônica Fontes
Victor Santos7-2-0
Marcos Silva9-3-0
Close matchupModel / Elo splitModel miss · Marcos Silva won
55%Victor Santos45%Marcos Silva
Emerson Richard8-6-0
Salomão Albuquerque8-1-0
Close matchupModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Salomão Albuquerque won
47%Emerson Richard53%Salomão Albuquerque
Breno Yuri6-2-0
Fábio Perpetua9-2-0
Close matchupModel / Elo splitModel miss · Fábio Perpetua won
54%Breno Yuri47%Fábio Perpetua
Lucas Silva6-0-0
Lucas Silva5-6-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Lucas Silva won
58%Lucas Silva42%Lucas Silva
João Vitor Pereira4-2-0
Adam Santos6-1-0
Close matchupModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Adam Santos won
49.9%João Vitor Pereira50.1%Adam Santos
Nicollas Santos4-0-0
Jackson Soares5-2-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Nicollas Santos won
60%Nicollas Santos40%Jackson Soares
Laryssa Leila3-3-0
Fernanda Atômica1-1-0
Close matchupModel / Elo splitModel hit · Laryssa Leila won
53%Laryssa Leila47%Fernanda Atômica