Combat Edge Intelligence

Adam Santos vs Roman Paulus

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Adam Santos
br

Adam Santos

“Paqueta”

6-1-0BantamweightLFA

1601Solid

Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record11-6-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'10"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight139 lbs
Flavio Baiano TeamTeamSpartakus Fight Gym· 1645 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adam SantosNow 1601
If they win+24→ 1625
If they lose-24→ 1577
Roman PaulusNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1503 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Adam SantosRoman Paulus
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (17%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
4 (67%)
Submission
3 (27%)
1 (17%)
Decision
7 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

Adam Santos63%
Roman Paulus 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Adam Santos a 63% favorite over Roman Paulus in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1599), separated by just 2 points.

Adam Santos enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Roman Paulus enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Adam Santos finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Roman Paulus 36%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.