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Combat Edge Intelligence

Adam Soldaev vs Alexander Matmuratov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record19-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'6"
-Reach-
146 lbsWeight155 lbs
WCA Fight Team· 1602 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamRaty Team· 1671 avg Elo · 14 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adam SoldaevNow 1676
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660
Alexander MatmuratovNow 1676
If they win+12→ 1688
If they lose-12→ 1664

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1646 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Adam SoldaevAlexander Matmuratov
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (64%)
KO/TKO
6 (32%)
1 (9%)
Submission
1 (5%)
3 (27%)
Decision
12 (63%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Matmuratov53%
Adam Soldaev 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Matmuratov a 53% favorite over Adam Soldaev in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Adam Soldaev's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1676 vs 1676), separated by just 0 points.

Adam Soldaev finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Alexander Matmuratov 37%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.