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Combat Edge Intelligence

Adam Soldaev vs Josh Grispi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Josh Grispi
us

Josh Grispi

“The Fluke”

14-5-0FeatherweightUFC

1659Good

Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record14-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight146 lbs
WCA Fight Team· 1600 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamSouth Shore Sport Fighting

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adam SoldaevNow 1659
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643
Josh GrispiNow 1659
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.44
Not available
Strike accuracy
42%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.71
Not available
Strike defense
50%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.97
Not available
Takedown accuracy
37%
Not available
Takedown defense
17%
Not available
Submission avg.
2.25

Trajectory

Adam SoldaevJosh Grispi
165017001750201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
1 (10%)
Submission
7 (50%)
3 (30%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Adam Soldaev60%
Josh Grispi 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Adam Soldaev a 60% favorite over Josh Grispi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1659 vs 1659), separated by just 0 points.

Josh Grispi enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Adam Soldaev finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Josh Grispi 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.