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Combat Edge Intelligence

Adam Soldaev vs Sebastian Szalay

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record10-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'7"
-Reach66"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
WCA Fight Team· 1600 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamFreestyle MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adam SoldaevNow 1659
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643
Sebastian SzalayNow 1657
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.25
Not available
Strike accuracy
44%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.27
Not available
Strike defense
72%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
85%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Adam SoldaevSebastian Szalay
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
1 (10%)
Submission
1 (10%)
3 (30%)
Decision
7 (70%)

Combat Edge model read

Adam Soldaev58%
Sebastian Szalay 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Adam Soldaev a 58% favorite over Sebastian Szalay in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1659 vs 1657), separated by just 2 points.

Adam Soldaev finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Sebastian Szalay 30%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.