Combat Edge Intelligence

Adam Wieczorek vs Anthony Hamilton

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record21-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'5"
46,0"Reach76,0"
232 lbsWeight261 lbs
AKS ChorzowTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

Adam Wieczorek is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Anthony Hamilton carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Adam WieczorekNow 1659
If they win+13→ 1672
If they lose-19→ 1640
Anthony HamiltonNow 1597
If they win+14→ 1611
If they lose-10→ 1587

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.68
Sig. strikes / min
3.91
39%
Strike accuracy
66%
1.87
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.02
49%
Strike defense
46%
0.41
Takedown avg.
2.62
33%
Takedown accuracy
42%
59%
Takedown defense
79%
0.41
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Adam WieczorekAnthony Hamilton
16001650170020222023

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
10 (48%)
6 (55%)
Submission
2 (10%)
1 (9%)
Decision
9 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Adam Wieczorek78%
Anthony Hamilton 22%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Adam Wieczorek a 78% favorite over Anthony Hamilton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Adam Wieczorek holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1659 to 1597, a 62-point edge.

Anthony Hamilton enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Adam Wieczorek finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Anthony Hamilton 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.